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Catch Glucose Problems Early
Normal glucose tolerance can shift to diabetes or prediabetes fast. Early detection stops heart disease and full diabetes. Doctors need simple tests beyond fasting sugar. This study finds clear predictors after 5 years of watching patients. The study was published in the Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice.
Large Group Gets Full Testing
Researchers enrolled 1,008 Japanese adults with normal glucose tolerance at start. Everyone completed 75-g oral glucose tolerance test at baseline and after 5 years. Logistic regression tested predictors of glucose intolerance including diabetes or impaired fasting glucose
One-Hour Glucose Leads Risk
One-hour plasma glucose level during OGTT predicted glucose intolerance development best. Age interaction with 1-h PG made prediction stronger. Genetic factors worsened 1-h PG levels over time.
Age and Glucose Combo Strikes Hard
Patients with 1-h PG ≥8.3 mmol/L and age ≥57 years faced sex and BMI adjusted odds ratio of 12.9 with 95% CI 5.7-29.2 versus lower risk reference group. This combination flagged highest danger clearly.
Test One-Hour Levels Routinely
Add 1-h PG measurement to standard OGTT in normal patients over 50. Age 57 plus high 1-h PG demands immediate lifestyle changes. Genetics explain some progression but clinical measures guide action.
Screen Middle Age Patients First
Primary care doctors should order full OGTT not just HbA1c or fasting glucose. One-hour spike plus age predicts 13-fold risk jump. Early metformin or diet beats waiting for diabetes label.
Simple Combo Changes Practice
No fancy tests needed. Standard OGTT with age check identifies progressors. Findings apply across Asian and global populations likely.

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Key highlights
  • Researchers conducted 5-year prospective study in 1,008 Japanese adults with normal glucose tolerance using 75-g OGTT to identify glucose intolerance progression predictors.
  • Logistic regression analysis identified 1-h plasma glucose level and age interaction as strongest predictors of transition from normal to glucose intolerance.
  • Patients with 1-h PG ≥8.3 mmol/L and age ≥57 years showed sex and BMI-adjusted odds ratio 12.9 (95% CI 5.7-29.2) for GI development versus reference group.
  • Type 2 diabetes susceptibility single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with worsening 1-h PG levels during follow-up period.
  • Combination of 1-h PG ≥8.3 mmol/L and age ≥57 years serves as simple clinical predictor for glucose intolerance development in normal glucose tolerance patients.
Source

Misaki Takakado, Yasuharu Tabara, Inoue S, et al. Simultaneous assessment of one-hour plasma glucose levels and age as a potential predictor of glucose intolerance development in individuals with normal glucose tolerance. Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice. 2025;232:113079-113079. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.diabres.2025.113079 

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Glucose Tolerance Test and Diabetes
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Japanese 5-year study of 1,008 NGT patients finds 1-h PG ≥8.3 mmol/L plus age ≥57 years raises GI odds 12.9-fold (95% CI 5.7-29.2).

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