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The timing of lipid-lowering therapy initiation in primary prevention remains debated, particularly among individuals at relatively low cardiovascular risk where absolute event reductions may appear modest. Investigators conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis evaluating the relationship between LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) reduction and major cardiovascular outcomes across lower-risk primary prevention populations. The findings were published in the American Journal of Preventive Cardiology.

Researchers searched EMBASE, MEDLINE, and CENTRAL for randomized placebo-controlled lipid-lowering trials conducted in populations with no or low prevalence of established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Meta-regression analyses examined how baseline event rates influenced the relative risk reduction achieved per 1 mmol/L LDL-C lowering.

Findings

  • A total of 17 trials involving 105,879 participants and 6,076 major cardiovascular events were included.
  • The analysis included 17 randomized trials comprising 105,879 participants and 6,076 major adverse cardiovascular events in predominantly primary prevention populations.
  • Relative risk reduction (RRR) per 1 mmol/L LDL-C reduction declined significantly as baseline cardiovascular risk increased (p<0.0001).
  • At a placebo event rate of 1% per year, each 1 mmol/L LDL-C reduction was associated with a 36% reduction in 3P-MACE.
  • At a higher event rate of 3% per year, the corresponding relative risk reduction fell to 13%, indicating attenuation of benefit with increasing baseline risk.
  • To achieve a 25% relative reduction in major cardiovascular events, the required absolute LDL-C reduction increased from 0.36 mmol/L at a 1% annual event risk to 3.09 mmol/L at a 3% annual event risk (p=0.0001).

Investigators concluded that lower-risk primary prevention populations derive proportionally greater cardiovascular benefit from each unit of LDL-C reduction than higher-risk populations. Conversely, individuals at higher baseline risk may require substantially larger absolute reductions in LDL-C to achieve comparable relative treatment effects.

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Key highlights
  • Relative risk reduction per 1 mmol/L LDL-C lowering was greatest in lower-risk primary prevention populations.
  • The cardiovascular benefit of LDL-C reduction diminished as baseline cardiovascular risk increased.
  • Lower-risk individuals required smaller absolute LDL-C reductions to achieve a 25% relative reduction in major cardiovascular events.
  • Findings support earlier LDL-C lowering strategies before cardiovascular risk becomes substantially elevated.
Source

Karungi I, Stevens CAT, Brandts J, Ray KK. Cardiovascular event rate modifies response to pharmacologic LDL-C lowering in primary prevention: implications of a systematic review and meta-analysis for clinical practice. Am J Prev Cardiol. Published online May 1, 2026:101655-101655. doi: 10.1016/j.ajpc.2026.101655

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Meta-analysis of 17 randomized trials suggests that each 1 mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol confers larger relative reductions in major cardiovascular events among lower-risk individuals.

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