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Older adults with baseline heart disease had a higher long-term risk of developing frailty over 20 years in a community-based cohort study published in Heart, Lung, and Circulation. The association remained stronger in men after adjustment for age, diabetes, hypertension, smoking, and body mass index.
The analysis included 3,998 non-frail adults aged 65 years or older, including 2,000 men and 1,998 women. Heart disease included chronic heart failure, myocardial infarction, and angina pectoris identified through self-report and medication verification. Frailty was assessed using the FRAIL scale at baseline and during follow-up visits conducted over 20 years.

Findings

  • At baseline, heart disease prevalence was 18.3% in men and 16.5% in women.
  • Over 62,012 person-years of follow-up, baseline heart disease remained associated with incident frailty after adjustment for confounding factors.
  • In men, baseline heart disease was associated with a 77% higher risk of frailty (adjusted HR 1.77; 95% CI 1.26–2.48; p=0.001).
  • In women, baseline heart disease was associated with a 34% higher risk of frailty (adjusted HR 1.34; 95% CI 1.00–1.80; p=0.048).

The findings suggest that heart disease is associated with higher long-term frailty risk in older adults, particularly among men. 
 

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Key highlights
  • Baseline heart disease was associated with a higher incident frailty risk over 20 years in older adults.
  • The association between heart disease and frailty was stronger in men than in women.
  • Heart disease remained associated with frailty after adjustment for diabetes, hypertension, smoking, and body mass index.
  • Frailty was assessed longitudinally using repeated FRAIL scale evaluations during follow-up.
Source

Auyeung TW, Lee JSW, Fung E, Leung J, Kwok T, Woo J. Heart Diseases Can Predict Incident Frailty: A 20-Year Cohort Study in 3,998 Older Adults. Heart Lung Circ. Published online May 13, 2026. doi:10.1016/j.hlc.2026.04.001

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A community-based cohort study of 3,998 older adults found higher incident frailty risk over 20 years, with stronger associations in men. 

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