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Insulin resistance markers like triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR) link to cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM). Lipid markers such as atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and remnant cholesterol (RC) need clearer roles. In a recent study published in the Cardiovascular Diabetology, the researchers tested individual and combined effects on CMM risk.

Data came from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. A composite index merged TyG, eGDR, AIP, and RC via principal component analysis. Among 4232 participants, multivariable Cox models checked ties to incident CMM over 6.8 years. ROC and net reclassification improvement (NRI) assessed prediction. Dose-response and subgroup analyses followed.

During follow-up, 552 CMM cases occurred. Each SD rise in TyG, AIP, RC tied to higher CMM risk: HR 1.308 (95% CI 1.202-1.422), 1.222 (1.117-1.338), 1.076 (1.025-1.129). Higher eGDR and composite index linked to lower risk: HR 0.650 (0.565-0.747), 0.626 (0.554-0.707). eGDR had 56.3% population attributable fraction (47.3-63.4%); composite 38.3% (29.8-47.8). Composite index gave best discrimination (AUC 0.754, NRI 0.066). Ties stronger under age 65.

In this ageing cohort, insulin resistance and lipid markers associated with CMM incidence. The composite index improved risk prediction modestly. Prospective findings highlight combined metabolic patterns, consistent across sexes, warranting further validation.

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Key highlights
  • TyG, AIP, RC per SD increase associated with higher CMM risk (HRs 1.308, 1.222, 1.076) over 6.8 years in 4232 participants
  • Higher eGDR and composite metabolic index linked to lower CMM risk (HRs 0.650, 0.626).
  • eGDR showed 56.3% population attributable fraction (95% CI 47.3-63.4) for CMM.
  • Composite index offered best prediction (AUC 0.754, NRI 0.066), improving risk classification.
  • Associations more pronounced in participants under 65 years from this longitudinal cohort.
Source

Li C, Luo X, Chen Y, Lin J, Gu S. Predictive value of an integrated insulin resistance and lipometabolic score for cardiometabolic multimorbidity in older adults: a UK cohort study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published online February 4, 2026. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-03064-1

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English Longitudinal Study of Ageing links higher TyG (HR 1.308 per SD), AIP (HR 1.222), RC (HR 1.076) to increased CMM risk over 6.8 years; composite index shows 37.4% lower risk (HR 0.626).

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