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The current prediction tool SCORE2 estimates a 10-year risk of Cardiovascular Diseases (CVD) based on general criteria like age, sex, smoking, blood pressure, cholesterol, etc. While there is a yes/no question about the presence of diabetes in the tool, the exact estimates vary largely between the diabetic and non-diabetic populations. To mitigate these drawbacks, an extension of SCORE2, called SCORE2-Diabetes, was developed to predict CVDs in patients diagnosed with diabetes. 

For the development of this tool, key factors like Hb1Ac, age at diagnosis, and kidney function (eGFR)were considered. Individual data of >229,000 people with T2D from 4 major regions were collected. These were the regions with the highest risk of CVD in Europe. People under 40 years old and with no prior CVD were excluded. The model was then tested using European population-level data to predict how CVD may vary across regions.

According to the results, SCORE2-Diabetes outperformed SCORE2 in predicting CVDs. It could classify people into risk groups more accurately. Reportedly, it also showed better performance compared to ADVANCED (another diabetes-specific tool). The tool identified top risk factors (diabetes-specific) for CVD occurrence, such as HbA1c, kidney function, and younger age at diagnosis. The factors were considered independently and were found to be strong predictors of CVD. 

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Key highlights
  • The present CVD prediction tool SCORE2 is used to estimate a 10-year risk of CVDs such as Myocardial Infarction (MI), stroke, etc.
  • A new tool, SCORE2-Diabetes, has been developed to consider some targeted factors to predict accurate outcomes in the diabetic population.
  • This tool can be used by clinicians and doctors to predict risks and take preventive measures as early as possible. 
Source

SCORE2-Diabetes Working Group and the ESC Cardiovascular Risk Collaboration, , SCORE2-Diabetes: 10-year cardiovascular risk estimation in type 2 diabetes in Europe, European Heart Journal, Volume 44, Issue 28, 21 July 2023, Pages 2544–2556, https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehad260
 

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SCOPE2-Diabetes as an effective tool for predicting CVD
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Using data from millions of patients, researchers recalibrated a European heart disease risk calculator to better guide prevention in people with type 2 diabetes.

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